Will taking the initiative away from parliament to prevent a Crash Brexit make it more likely that the EU
gives in to the demands of Boris Johnson to drop the backstop? I simply cannot see this! Even if they did, there is no guarantee that there won’t be enough ERG members that would vote still against a new deal. And if the EU gave up on the
backstop, it would basically agree to putting up a border in Ireland, once the UK leaves the Single Market and the Customs Union. But wouldn’t they have to do it anyway after a Crash Brexit? Yes, but in this case the EU would not be complicit in
violating the Good Friday Agreement and in stoking a new wave of conflict in Northern Ireland. And a Crash Brexit would force the UK back to the negotiating table at some point and the three preconditions for a free trade agreement are obvious – money,
citizen rights and backstop. One future possible compromise, which could be included in the political declaration now, but in case of a Crash Brexit will certainly come up later, is a referendum in Northern Ireland on whether the backstop and thus avoiding
a border on the Irish island would be acceptable (as also suggested in this letter to the editor in the FT). Polls suggest that there is currently a clear majority for the
backstop in Northern Ireland. Given that NI has voted clearly in 2016 to stay in the EU and given that the majority of elected representatives in NI are in favour of the backstop, this would be the most democratic solution.